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  • Tuesday, 14 Dec, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: ‘Ethan’ on the hunt at Warragul

The consistent Invictus Ethan faces fellow up-and-comers Dundee Hornet and Sir Harley in a 460m Grade 5 final at Warragul this evening.

Overshadowed – a classy winner at Sandown Park – and the well-performed Society Icon highlight their respective races.

G3 Northern Districts Cup runner-up My Name’s Stacey headlines a 410m Grade 5 final at Horsham late this afternoon.

Dale Code’s Predicted Market Firmer
SIR HARLEY
TAB fixed odds at 9am: $2.40 Win
? Warragul ? Race 6 ? Box 7 ⏱ 8:25pm
Form ?
https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540471/race/6

Today’s Racing

Healesville: 11:07am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Geelong: 3:06pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Horsham: 4:04pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warragul: 6:48pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

MY NAME’S STACEY

Trainer: Rodney Clark
? Horsham ? Race 5
? Box 5 ? 410m ⏱ 5:14pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd G3 Northern Districts Cup
– Won 7 from 12

TAB fixed odds: $1.95

The Watchdog says: No

INVICTUS ETHAN

Trainer: Garry Selkrig
? Warragul ? Race 6
? Box 8 ? 460m 8:25pm

Claim to fame:
– Top-three in last 7 starts
– 86% top-three from 29 starts

TAB fixed odds: $3.10

The Watchdog says: No

OVERSHADOWED

Trainer: Jason Thompson
? Warragul ? Race 8
? Box 1 ? 460m 9:05pm

Claim to fame:
– 29.50 PB Sandown Park 515m
– 66% top-three from 35 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.75

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Tuesday 14 December

? $4 Place – MADAM EVIE
? Horsham ? Race 2 ? Box 8 ? 410m ⏱ 4:19pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.80 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540470/race/2


The Watchdog says
? : She meets a good one in THUNDER DASH (5), but she really caught the eye here last Thursday night when she charged home into third spot. It was her first look at the track, and she got lost through the bend and found plenty of bother in the run. From the good draw today, she will get every chance to balance up and she should be there to strike as they turn for home.

? $1.50 Win – DR. KNUCKLES

? Must Watch Race ?

Grade 5 Final

? Warragul ? Race 6
? Box 4 ? 460m ⏱ 8:25pm

TAB fixed odds: $9 Win
? Lucky Longshot ?

The Watchdog says ?:
DR. KNUCKLES (4) was close to crossing and leading in his heat and that would have seen him win. If he steps away and leads, he is capable of an upset.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:

Plenty of depth in the event and the exciting SIR HARLEY (7) has really put it all together now. He burst onto the scene with some scorching Sale wins, however he didn’t really continue to improve until recent weeks. After stepping well in his heat, he carved out blistering sectionals before scoring in a scorching 25.64sec and a repeat of that will see him score again. INVICTUS ETHAN (8) is the obvious danger. He has been a little costly of late, but he is a gifted chaser, and he should get a nice cart across early on.

 

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540471/race/6

 

The Watchdog’s selections: 7 – 8 – 4 – 3

? $4.50 Multi


First
?:
Win – OVERSHADOWED
? Warragul ? Race 8 ? Box 1 ? 460m ⏱ 9:05pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.75 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540471/race/8


Second
?: Win – SOCIETY ICON
? Warragul ? Race 12 ? Box 1 ? 460m ⏱ 10:25pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.90 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540471/race/12


The Watchdog says
? : OVERSHADOWED (1) has the good draw and he will be carving out serious time. SOCIETY ICON (1) was a brilliant 25.30sec Ballarat winner two runs back and if she can step on terms tonight, she should be able to punch through and lead and a replica of that Ballarat win will see her smoke them.


Multi price:
$3.32

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Monday 13 December: $23.48 (+135%)
Sunday 12 December: $24.60 (+146%)
Saturday 11 December: $0 (-100%)
Friday 10 December: $11.70 (+17%)
Thursday 9 December: $26.60 (+166%)
Wednesday 8 December: $18.43 (+84%)
Tuesday 7 December: $9.39 (-6%)

Past 7 days: $114.20 for $70 invested (+63%)
Past 14 days: $164.87 for $140 invested (+18%)
Past 28 days: $238.69 for $280 invested (-15%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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